IRI Ukraine Poll: Strong Support for Victory, EU, and NATO Membership The latest public opinion survey in Ukraine, conducted by the International Republican Institute’s (IRI) Center for Insights in Survey Research (CISR), reveals overwhelming optimism among Ukrainians about their future, along with strong support for aligning with the West. The survey shows that a significant majority believe Ukraine will defeat Russia in the ongoing war and are hopeful about the country’s future.
Key Findings:
- 88% of Ukrainians are confident that Ukraine will emerge victorious in the war with Russia.
- 80% of Ukrainians believe the future of their country looks “rather promising.”
Despite more than two years of relentless attacks from Russia, Ukrainians maintain their belief in ultimate victory. Stephen Nix, Senior Director for Eurasia at IRI, commented, “Ukrainians continue to believe they will prevail in the war, showing that Putin has not been able to shake their strong morale.”
Strong Support for EU and NATO Membership
The survey also underscores Ukraine’s desire to align more closely with the West. 77% of Ukrainians would favor joining the European Union over a customs union with Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan. Additionally, if a referendum were held today, 77% would vote in favor of Ukraine becoming a member of NATO.
Stephen Nix added, “Our data clearly shows that Ukrainians believe stronger ties with the West offer their best opportunity for achieving lasting peace and prosperity.”
Key Findings from the IRI Ukraine Poll
The International Republican Institute (IRI) conducted a comprehensive survey in late 2024, providing a detailed look at the public sentiment in Ukraine. Here are the most significant findings:
- Victory Over Russia: An impressive 84% of Ukrainians believe their country will ultimately defeat Russia and regain its occupied territories. This shows strong national resolve and a deep sense of optimism despite the ongoing war.
- Support for EU Membership: Nearly 70% of Ukrainians express support for joining the European Union, reflecting a desire for greater political and economic integration with the West. This is viewed not only as a means of securing a prosperous future but also as a symbol of democratic values.
- NATO Membership: A similar level of support exists for joining NATO, with 71% of Ukrainians backing the alliance. Many see NATO membership as a way to strengthen national security and deter future aggression.
Insights into the Public Mood
- Patriotism and National Unity: The poll highlights an overwhelming sense of patriotism, with many Ukrainians willing to endure further sacrifices for the nation’s sovereignty.
- Trust in Leadership: There is also a notable trust in the Ukrainian leadership and military, with President Zelenskyy maintaining high approval ratings.
The Desire for EU and NATO Membership
As the war continues, Ukraine’s aspirations to join the European Union and NATO have become central to its national identity and future. These aspirations are reflected in the strong polling results, which signal the public’s desire for:
- Economic Growth: EU membership is seen as a pathway to economic stability and growth, offering access to European markets, funding, and a better standard of living.
- Security: NATO membership, meanwhile, is viewed as a guarantee of national security against external threats, particularly from Russia.
The Broader Implications for Ukraine’s Future
The strong support for NATO and EU membership also highlights a broader shift in Ukrainian identity, moving closer to Europe and away from Russian influence. This realignment has the potential to reshape Ukraine’s foreign policy for decades to come.
- Western Support: The poll results reinforce the importance of continued Western support. The United States, EU, and NATO allies will likely need to respond to this public sentiment with sustained military, economic, and diplomatic backing.
- Geopolitical Repercussions: Ukraine’s growing ties to Europe could lead to new geopolitical alliances and a redefined balance of power in Eastern Europe.
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Conclusion
The IRI Ukraine Poll underscores a deep-seated belief among Ukrainians that their country will prevail in the war against Russia and a strong desire for integration with the West. With overwhelming support for EU and NATO membership, the poll signals not only the resilience of the Ukrainian people but also their clear vision for the future. Ukraine’s future is undeniably tied to its aspirations for greater political and economic alignment with Europe, which will continue to shape its path forward.
FAQ
1. How confident are Ukrainians about victory over Russia?
Around 84% of Ukrainians believe their country will win the war and regain its territories, showing strong national resolve.
2. What percentage of Ukrainians support joining the European Union?
70% of Ukrainians support EU membership, reflecting a desire for political and economic integration with Europe.
3. How do Ukrainians feel about NATO membership?
71% of Ukrainians are in favor of joining NATO, viewing it as vital for national security and deterrence against future aggression.
4. How does the war affect Ukraine’s aspirations for EU and NATO membership?
The war has reinforced Ukrainians’ desire for closer ties to Europe and NATO, seeing these alliances as crucial for security and prosperity.
5. What does the polling reveal about Ukrainians’ trust in their leadership?
Ukrainians continue to show high levels of trust in President Zelenskyy and the military, supporting the country’s leadership during the conflict.
6. What are the broader geopolitical implications of Ukraine’s EU and NATO aspirations?
Ukraine’s shift towards European integration could reshape Eastern European geopolitics, strengthening ties with the West and altering regional power dynamics.
